Development of an Advanced Traffic Demand Prediction System Optimized Three-Phase Deep Neural Network
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.63503/j.ijcma.2025.49Keywords:
Traffic Demand Prediction, Deep Neural Network, Optimization, Traffic Flow, Intelligent Transportation Systems, Traffic Management, Predictive AnalyticsAbstract
Predicting traffic demand is essential to current ITS because it helps reduce road traffic congestion and improves utilisation. Efficient traffic prediction models can contribute to a considerably decreased number of disruptions and optimal control of the traffic within the city. This paper proposes an improved three-phase deep neural network (DNN) model for traffic demand forecast at the macro level. The proposed model is an addition to the existing methods using a standalone multi layered neural network architecture and optimisation algorithms that improve the predictive abilities and reduce computational time. The three-phase design now involves feature extraction, a deep learning model phase, and an optimisation phase to adjust the parameters within the model further. The identified originality of this approach is in integrating all these phases while enhancing the interpreta tion of traffic patterns and dynamically estimating traffic demand in the future, informed by prior and present traffic data. To show how the proposed model per forms compared with standard predictive models, the performance assessment of the study employs a traffic dataset available to the public. The studies used to eval uate the proposed framework demonstrate that the three-phase DNN model opti mised for deep architectures is also more accurate, less sensitive to degradation, and possesses better scalability. Research proves that the elaborated approach might help enhance traffic control in large cities, thus providing more competent decisions and accurate planning of resources. Furthermore, the proposed method ology can be generalised for other domains where it is necessary to forecast the values in time-series data.
References
[1]. P. N. Thanh, M. Y. Cho, C. L. Chang, and M. J. Chen, “Short-term three-phase load prediction with advanced metering infrastructure data in smart solar microgrid based convolution neural network bidirectional gated recurrent unit,” IEEE Access, Vol. 10, pp. 68686–68699, 2022.
[2]. H. Qin and W. Zhang, “Short-term traffic flow prediction and signal timing optimization based on deep learning,” Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing, Vol. 2022, No. 1, pp. 8926445, 2022.
[3]. D. Ma, X. Song, and P. Li, “Daily traffic flow forecasting through a contextual convolutional recurrent neural network modeling inter-and intra-day traffic patterns,” IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Vol. 22, No. 5, pp. 2627–2636, 2020.
[4]. V. Hassija, V. Gupta, S. Garg, and V. Chamola, “Traffic jam probability estimation based on blockchain and deep neural networks,” IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Vol. 22, No. 7, pp. 3919–3928, 2020.
[5]. A. Mohanty, S. K. Mohanty, B. Jena, A. G. Mohapatra, A. N. Rashid, A. Khanna, and D. Gupta, “Identification and evaluation of the effective criteria for detection of congestion in a smart city,” IET Communications, Vol. 16, No. 5, pp. 560–570, 2022.
[6]. Y. A. Pan, J. Guo, Y. Chen, Q. Cheng, W. Li, and Y. Liu, “A fundamental diagram based hybrid framework for traffic flow estimation and prediction by combining a Markovian model with deep learning,” Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 238, pp. 122219, 2024.
[7]. J. Bi, X. Zhang, H. Yuan, J. Zhang, and M. Zhou, “A hybrid prediction method for realistic network traffic with temporal convolutional network and LSTM,” IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 1869 1879, 2021.
[8]. M. Anjaneyulu and M. Kubendiran, “Short-term traffic congestion prediction using hybrid deep learning technique,” Sustainability, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 74, 2022.
[9]. A. M. Khedr, “Enhancing supply chain management with deep learning and machine learning techniques: A review,” Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, pp. 100379, 2024.
[10]. K. Yang, T. Yang, Y. Yao, and S. D. Fan, “A transfer learning-based convolutional neural network and its novel application in ship spare-parts classification,” Ocean & Coastal Management, Vol. 215, pp. 105971, 2021.
[11]. R. Sharma, “Enhancing Industrial Automation and Safety Through Real-Time Monitoring and Control Systems,” International Journal on Smart & Sustainable Intelligent Computing, Vol. 1, No. 2, pp. 1–20, 2024.
[12]. Q. Shang, T. Xie, and Y. Yu, “Prediction of duration of traffic incidents by hybrid deep learning based on multi-source incomplete data,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 19, No. 17, pp. 10903, 2022.
[13]. D. R. Cahanap, J. Mohammadpour, S. Jalalifar, H. Mehrjoo, S. Norouzi-Apourvari, and F. Salehi, “Prediction of three-phase product yield of biomass pyrolysis using artificial intelligence-based models,” Journal of Analytical and Applied Pyrolysis,
Vol. 172, pp. 106015, 2023.
[14]. A. G. Mohapatra, “Real-Time Traffic Congestion Prediction Using Predictive Data Analysis,” International Journal on Engineering Artificial Intelligence Management, Decision Support, and Policies, Vol. 1, No. 2, pp. 18–32, 2024.
[15]. S. Ouyang, D. Dong, Y. Xu, and L. Xiao, “Communication optimization strategies for distributed deep neural network training: A survey,” Journal of Parallel and Distributed Computing, Vol. 149, pp. 52–65, 2021.
[16]. S. H. Khaleefah, S. A. Mostafa, S. S. Gunasekaran, U. F. Khattak, S. S. Yaacob, and A. Alanda, “A deep learning-based fault detection and classification in smart electrical power transmission system,” JOIV: International Journal on Informatics Visualization, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp. 812–818, 2024.
[17]. A. Ahmadian, K. Sedghisigarchi, and R. Gadh, “Empowering dynamic active and reactive power control: A deep reinforcement learning controller for three-phase grid-connected electric vehicles,” IEEE Access, 2024.
[18]. R. Sharma, “Enhancing Industrial Automation and Safety Through Real-Time Monitoring and Control Systems,” International Journal on Smart & Sustainable Intelligent Computing, Vol. 1, No. 2, pp. 1–20, 2024.
[19]. Y. Jeong, S. Son, E. Jeong, and B. Lee, “An integrated self-diagnosis system for an autonomous vehicle based on an IoT gateway and deep learning,” Applied Sciences, Vol. 8, No. 7, pp. 1164, 2018.
[20]. H. Suyal and A. Gupta, “An improved multi-label k-nearest neighbour algorithm with prototype selection using DENCLUE,” 2021 9th International Conference on Reliability, Infocom Technologies and Optimization (Trends and Future Directions)
(ICRITO), India, pp. 1–6. IEEE, 2021.
[21]. H. Suyal and A. Singh, “Improving multi-label classification in prototype selection scenario,” Computational Intelligence and Healthcare Informatics, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 103–119, 2021.